Possibly the only way to reduce road deaths?
You see it nearly every time there is a car crash where someone gets killed, particularly a young driver. Some kneejerk reaction from politicians or motoring organisations (or in Australia, that clown Harold Scruby who won’t be happy till there are no cars on the road at all) calling for restrictions on the number of passengers a newly-licensed driver may carry, lowering speed limits, more speed cameras (sorry, road safety cameras), even GPS speed tracking.
It was always my thought that driver training would be the answer - I attended a driver training course a number of years ago, and it was an excellent learning experience. In fact, I still highly recommend anyone to attend one of these. But I found a link to a report (in pdf format, briefer version here) prepared for the RACV that noted that it may not have much effect. Its author found that what was learned during the training would drop off in time - people would forget most of what they were taught. It also noted the ‘low individual crash risk’ of drivers - I believe it refers to the actual chances of being in a position, where a crash is imminent, being so remote for the average driver. The other factor, widely expressed, is that the increased level of skill following training would lead to an increase in confidence of the driver, therefore encouraging more risk-taking behaviour. An example of this is “Hey, I learned how to recover from a slide, lets try one around this corner.”
This latter opinion is what concerned me - surely having knowledge of how to control a car is better than none? I wouldn’t get into a plane whose pilots were not told how to recover from a stall, for instance, but rather told “Just don’t get into one in the first place.” A vague analogy, but hopefully you follow my thoughts.
I still believe there is a place for advanced, or defensive, driver training. Not the sort of higher level stuff that was mentioned in the above paragraph, with stuff taught on skidpans and the like, but just the basic stuff like what I was taught, like how to brake in an emergency, to not look at what you are about to hit, but rather where you want to go to avoid the obstacle. To check your tyre pressures regularly. To look further down the road for any dangers, rather than the bumper of the car in front.
Experience is the main thing the report suggested, particularly supervised training while a learner driver. This I can understand. But some of that training should also include just some basic emergency skills, like trying out the ABS brakes on a quiet wet road, to know what it feels like when they activate. The report also suggested a graduated licence scheme, with further tests to be passed to get less and less restricted licenses. I agree with this. But the main suggestion of the report, in my opinion, is buying more crashworthy cars - cars that can better survive an accident. Even better is a car that can avoid an accident with better active safety.
I’m finally getting around to my main point. Active safety in cars, such as better brakes, ABS, traction control, and in particular, Electronic Stability Control. My next car will definitely be fitted with ESC. Basically, the common factor in crashes is overwhelmingly human error. The more ways you can take human fallibility out of the equation, the safer the roads will become.
If you take that last point to the extreme, the only ways you would end up with zero road deaths would be to limit them to 20km/h, or remove humans from the control of cars altogether. Have each car computer controlled, with sensors taking in information about the surroundings, lane markings, radars picking up obstacles to the front and side. Communication between other vehicles, using a common standard, that lets each car know what others in its vicinity are doing, so they don’t hit.
Even then, there are still factors that will cause possible deaths. Mechanical failure, or errors in programming; after all, the human factor is still in the design and construction stages. Pedestrians, particularly drunk ones, or suicidal ones, will still find a way to jump in front of a car.
In the end, is this a situation we want? It would be a massive cost to replace all vehicles on the road with automatic travel pod-type things (I don’t know if you could call them cars). There would be massive opposition. I happen to like driving - so do millions of others. People would not trust these automatic drivers, even if they could be feasibly developed - there is no chance at today’s level of technology. I guess the moral of the story is, you make something foolproof, they will just make better fools…

